A new poll released Tuesday has earned 2020 presidential candidate Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-Hawaii) a spot on the Ohio debate stage next month and shows Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) now leading in New Hampshire.
The survey of New Hampshire voters conducted by Monmouth University showed Gabbard with 2 percent support in the critical early primary state, putting the Hawaii congresswoman over the top with her fourth and final qualifying poll needed to participate in next month’s primetime event.
While Gabbard has now met the requirements to secure a podium on CNN debate stage in Ohio, qualifying for the fifth Democratic debate slated for November will be much more challenging absent a stand-out performance in October. To narrow the field of serious candidates in the next phase of the primary, the Democratic National Committee has raised the threshold to qualify for the November debate to receiving 3 percent support in four pre-approved polls in addition to raising the donor requirements from 130,000 unique donors to 165,000.
The Monmouth poll also illustrates Warren’s growing momentum by showing the Massachusetts senator now narrowly leading in the state with 27 percent support, 2 percent higher than former vice president Joe Biden at 25 percent, although Warren’s lead is within the poll’s 4.9 percent margin of error. According to Monmouth, Warren’s rising support in the race has come at the cost of Biden and her primary progressive rival in the field Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who now claims only 12 percent support among likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters.
“Warren continues to look stronger with every new poll,” said Patrick Murray, the director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute. “She seems to be picking up support across the spectrum with gains coming at the expense of both Biden and Sanders.”
Warren’s campaign is gaining strength across the country as the progressive senator excels in the Democratic debates and continues to unveil new left-wing policy proposals resonating with the Democratic base, which has shown little appetite for moderation.
On Friday, a new poll published by CNN with the Des Moines Register and Mediacom has shown Warren ahead in Iowa for the first time in the race, leading Biden in the Hawkeye state by 2 percent, also within the poll’s 4-point margin of error.
The Monmouth University poll was conducted Sept. 17-21 and surveyed 401 New Hampshire voters likely to vote in the Democratic primary by telephone with a 4.9 percent margin of error.