Axios published a bold, bizarre proposal yesterday that includes leaked documents by a “senior National Security Council (NSC) official” for accelerating 5G deployment in the United States. “5G” refers to the latest generation of wireless technologies, whose evolving specifications are being standardized by global telecommunications companies right now.
The proposal highlights some reasonable concerns: the need for secure networks, slowness in getting wireless infrastructure permits from thousands of municipalities and counties. But it recommends an unreasonable solution: a government-operated, nationwide wireless network.
The proposal to nationalize some 5G equipment and network components needs to be nipped in the bud. It relies on the dated notion that centralized government management outperforms “wasteful competition.” It’s infeasible and would severely damage the U.S. telecom and Internet sector, one of the brightest spots in the U.S. economy. The plan will likely go nowhere, but the fact it’s being circulated by administration officials is alarming.
Making Our Current Chokeholds Worse
First, a little context. In 1927, the United States nationalized all radiofrequency spectrum, and for decades has rationed out dribbles of spectrum for commercial use (though much has improved since liberalization in the 1990s). To this day all spectrum is nationalized and wireless companies operate at sufferance. This new document proposes to make a poor situation worse.
In particular, the presentation proposes to re-nationalize 500 MHz of spectrum (the 3.7 GHz to 4.2 GHz band, which contains mostly satellite and government incumbents) and build wireless equipment and infrastructure across the country to transmit on this band. The federal government would act as a wholesaler to the commercial networks (AT&T, Verizon, T-Mobile, Sprint, etc.), which would sell retail wireless plans to consumers and businesses.
The justification has a national security component and an economic component: prevent Chinese spying and beat China in the “5G race.” The announced goals are simultaneously broad and narrow, and at severe tension.
The plan is broad in that it contemplates nationalizing part of the 5G equipment and network. However, it’s narrow in that it would nationalize only a portion of the 5G network (3.7 GHz to 4.2 GHz) and not other portions, like 600 MHz and 28 GHz. This undermines the national security purpose, assuming it’s even feasible to protect the nationalized portion, since 5G networks interconnect. It’d be like having government checkpoints on Interstate 95 but leaving all other interstates checkpoint-free.
This Is Flatly Unrealistic
Further, the document author misunderstands the evolutionary nature of 5G networks. For a while, 5G will be an overlay on the existing 4G LTE network, not a brand-new parallel network, as the NSC document assumes. 5G equipment will be installed on 4G LTE infrastructure in neighborhoods where capacity is strained. As Sherif Hanna, director of the 5G team at Qualcomm, noted on Twitter, “the first version of the 5G [standard]…by definition requires an existing 4G radio and core network.”
The most implausible idea in the document is that a nationwide 5G network could be deployed in the next few years. Environmental and historic preservation review in a single city can take longer than that. AT&T has battled NIMBYs and local government in San Francisco for a decade, for instance, to install a few hundred utility boxes on the public right-of-way.
The federal government deploying and maintaining hundreds of thousands of 5G installations in two years from scratch is a pipe dream. And how to pay for it? The “financing” section in the document says nothing about how the federal government will find tens of billions of dollars for deploying a government 5G network nationwide.
Sell More Spectrum Instead
The plan to nationalize a portion of 5G wireless networks and deploy nationwide is unwise and unrealistic. It would permanently damage the U.S. broadband industry, antagonize city and state officials, raise serious privacy and First Amendment concerns, and require billions of new tax dollars. The released plan would also fail to ensure the network security it purports to protect.
U.S. telecom companies are lining up to pay the government for spectrum and to invest private dollars to build world-class 5G networks. If the federal government wants to accelerate 5G deployment, it should sell more spectrum and redirect existing government funding towards roadside infrastructure. Network security is a difficult problem, but nationalizing networks is overkill.
Someone reading the NSC proposal would get the impression that the United States is sitting still while China is racing ahead on 5G. The United States has unique challenges, but wireless broadband deployment is probably the Federal Communications Commission’s highest priority.
Already, all five FCC commissioners have come out strongly against this plan. The commission is aware of the permitting problems, and formed the Broadband Deployment Advisory Committee in part for that very purpose (I’m a member). The agency, in cooperation with the Department of Commerce, is also busy looking for more spectrum to release for 5G.
Recode is reporting that White House officials are already distancing the White House from the proposal. Hopefully it will publicly reject the plan soon.