New Data Finds Majority Of Trump’s 2020 Voters Were Women and Minorities

New Data Finds Majority Of Trump’s 2020 Voters Were Women and Minorities

New data sets pertaining to the 2020 presidential election contradict former President George W. Bush’s recent attempt to smear the Republican Party as solely comprised of “white Anglo-Saxon Protestantism.”

“No, I’d say there’s not going to be a party … And the idea of kind of saying you can only be Republican ‘if,’ then the ultimate extension of that is it ends up being a one-person party,” Bush said on The Dispatch podcast recently. “I know this — that if the Republican Party stands for exclusivity, you know, used to be country clubs, now evidently it’s white Anglo-Saxon Protestantism, then it’s not going to win anything.”

New data from progressive analytics firm Catalist shows the majority of Trump’s support in the 2020 election came from minorities and women. Trump’s support grew to 57.2 percent from 54.8 percent in 2016. Trump made inroads among all minorities in the election, except for white men. The data show a seven-point increase among non-white females, a four-point increase among non-white men, and a one-point loss among white men.

“Along with massive increases in turnout, Latino vote share as a whole swung towards Trump by 8 points in two-way vote share compared to 2016, though Biden-Harris still enjoyed solid majority (61%) support among this group,” the Catalist poll found.

“Some of the shift from 2016 appears to be a result of changing voting preferences among people who voted in both elections, and some may come from new voters who were more evenly split in their vote choice than previous Latino voters. This question presents particularly challenging data analysis problems, which we discuss more in a dedicated section below,” the report found.

Prior exit polls indicated Trump received 12 percent of the black vote in 2020, whereas he received 8 percent in 2016. The Catalist data indicates the former president received 3 points more compared to 2016.

Gabe Kaminsky is a senior contributor to The Federalist. His writing has appeared in RealClearPolitics, The American Conservative, the American Mind, the New York Post, and other outlets. Follow him on Twitter @Gabe__Kaminsky and email tips to [email protected]
Photo AP/Picryl
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