President Joe Biden’s recent fundraiser at Radio City Music Hall with Democrat bigwigs, celebrities, and other elites was touted as an example of the party’s unity despite hordes of anti-Israel protesters demonstrating outside — showing that the only people Biden is capable of “unifying” are the uniparty elites.
Former presidents Bill Clinton and Barack Obama joined Biden at the event — the latter reportedly having warned Biden that Trump has a good chance of winning this November — alongside other big names in the left-wing bubble such as Lizzo and Stephen Colbert. The event reportedly helped the president rake in $26 million.
“The fact is that Joe Biden is still pulling the Democratic coalition back together,” former Democratic National Committee chairwoman Donna Brazile told USA Today. “And with the help of Bill Clinton and Barack Obama and many others, this will make his task much easier. This is all about unifying the party.”
But unifying the left-wing media apparatus, pop stars, and your former boss is not the win Biden’s team hoped it would be.
Just outside the confines of Radio City Music Hall, hundreds of anti-Israel protesters jeered at Biden and his administration for his handling of the Israel-Hamas war. And while the terrorist sympathizers who threaten Biden’s reelection chances should be ignored when crafting foreign policy, their presence underscores Democrats’ struggle to unite the voter base to win the election.
Biden lost nearly 19 percent of the vote in the Minnesota primary, 12.7 percent in the North Carolina primary, and 13.2 percent in the Michigan primary to those who voted “uncommitted,” according to the Associated Press. In the majority-Arab town of Dearborn, Michigan, Biden lost to uncommitted 57 to 40 percent.
Meanwhile, Biden hasn’t led Trump in national polling averages in over six months — all while the former president spends considerable time, resources, and money fighting Democrats’ lawfare campaign. Compare this polling to the same time in 2020, when Biden was leading Trump by roughly 6 points in the FiveThirtyEight average, according to NBC News.
Biden is also losing considerable support among some of Democrats’ most reliable voters. A recent Fox News poll found Biden’s support from black voters has decreased roughly 20 percentage points compared to pre-2020. A New York Times/Siena College poll from early March found Biden leads Trump 56 to 44 points among nonwhite Americans, a group Biden “won by almost 50 points when the two men last fought it out for the White House in 2020,” The Financial Times’ John Burn-Murdock pointed out.
Despite Trump’s lead, Democrats could still have the upper hand come November — but not due to Biden’s track record.
As The Federalist’s Shawn Fleetwood noted, Democrat Tom Suozzi won the special race to fill former Republican Rep. George Santos’ seat within hours of polls closing, beating his Republican challenger Mazi Pilip by about 8 points. Suozzi was predicted to win, having held the seat before Santos. But the polls “significantly underestimated Democrat support,” Fleetwood wrote.
Then a special election in Pennsylvania saw Democrat Jim Prokopiak beat Republican Candace Cabanas by some 35 percentage points for a seat representing part of Bucks County in the commonwealth’s House of Representatives. Biden won that county by less than 5 points in 2020.
If Biden is wildly unpopular not just with the general electorate but key voting demographics, why do Democrats keep defying expectations? Fleetwood attributes Democrats’ wins to states fundamentally changing their election processes in 2020 by expanding unsupervised mail-in voting and permitting widespread ballot drop box use despite them being illegal in certain states.
“For this reason, using polls to predict election outcomes is a fool’s errand, as it’s become incredibly difficult for pollsters to estimate how much these efforts will affect any given race,” Fleetwood wrote.
“Democrats realized they don’t have to focus on Election Day turnout to win elections — they only need to bank enough mail-in ballots during early voting to bring home the bacon.”
