A new poll out Friday shows Wyoming’s nominal Republican Congresswoman Liz Cheney trailing her Trump-backed challenger by more than 20 points.
According to the joint survey by the Casper-Star Tribune and Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, attorney Harriet Hageman leads Cheney 52 percent to 30 percent a month before the August primary.
“The big story is Liz Cheney is going to get beat,” said Brad Coker, the managing director of the polling firm co-opted by the Star-Tribune. “That’s a foregone conclusion.”
Together, Mason-Dixon Polling and the local paper interviewed 1,100 registered Wyoming voters between July 7-11 for the survey with a 3 percent margin of error.
“This is the first independent, public in-state poll to be conducted” in the race, the Star-Tribune reported.
Previous polls have offered similar findings of Wyoming voters turning sour on their lone representative. Out of three surveys conducted since the 2020 election, Cheney failed to garner more than 29 percent support among likely primary voters.
The endangered incumbent who’s carved out a never-ending feud with former President Donald Trump as a hallmark of her time in the lower chamber has turned to Democrats to save her seat. Last month, Cheney sent mailers to state Democrats on how to change their party registration for the upcoming contest.
The three-term congresswoman can’t win re-election, however, by relying solely on Democrats and a handful of Republicans in August. The numbers just aren’t there with Republicans outnumbering Democrats with more than 200,000 registrants compared to the Democrats’ 43,000.
Hageman, meanwhile, has continued to build her grassroots support in the state that voted for Trump with a wider margin than anywhere else in the country.
Cheney’s primary advantage stems from a massive campaign war chest with more than $6.7 million left in cash on hand to drown the airwaves in the final month, most of which has come from outside constituents in northern Virginia.
Hageman, on the other hand, is running with just more than $1 million left, according to the Federal Election Commission (FEC).