New Research Reverses Negative Findings About Biggest School Voucher Programs

New Research Reverses Negative Findings About Biggest School Voucher Programs

Despite the efforts of Education Secretary Betsy DeVos and President Trump, school choice has been on the defensive. Outlets like The New York Times, National Public Radio, and The Atlantic have all given attention to a series of new studies that purport to show that students in voucher programs in Washington DC, Indiana, Louisiana, and Ohio were actually falling behind their public-school counterparts. These recent studies stand out from the preponderance of the evidence from other programs, which have found positive, or at minimum null, results.

However, new evidence released in this month on voucher programs in Louisiana and Indiana is establishing a pattern that should restore faith in advocates in the academic benefits of choice. Increasingly, it seems that choice students may undergo a performance drop upon initially entering the program, but a performance gain from continued exposure.

Dr. Patrick Wolf of the University of Arkansas and colleagues followed students randomly assigned to a school voucher in Louisiana via a lottery system. Such random assignment creates an experiment whereby the researchers can be far more certain that the effects they observe are due to the voucher program than other factors. In the first two years, Wolf and colleagues found negative effects on achievement in both math and language arts.

However, by the third year in the program, these negative effects have disappeared. The performance of students in the voucher program was found to be on par with their public school peers. This is in fact an improvement upon public schooling because it indicates the same level of achievement can be had at half the cost of public schools or less.

In Indiana, Dr. Mark Berends of Notre Dame and R. Joseph Waddington of the University of Kentucky found a similar pattern. Students entering the Indiana voucher program fell behind their public school peers initially, before equaling them (in the case of math) and surpassing them (in the case of English) by their fourth year.

The new results in Indiana and Louisiana are also consistent with the results of Milwaukee’s School Choice Demonstration Project that ended in 2012. That study of Milwaukee’s voucher program found insignificant differences among students in public schools and the voucher program. But the voucher students pulled ahead in English in the fourth year.

The significance of the pattern is still up for debate, but there is room for supposition. As with any student entering a new school, it is likely that newly minted voucher students undergo a period of adjustment. Differences in academic expectations, in school rules, and adjustments to a new social and academic environment may make it difficult for voucher students at first. But over time, these students adjust and increasingly thrive.

Successful school choice programs can and have been defined by more than just academic achievement. Coupled with the increasing popularity of voucher programs around the country, studies have found decreased criminal behavior, better school safety, higher likelihood of graduating from high school, and increases in civic values and tolerance. That plus the cost savings in an era of drastically indebted entitlement states makes school choice a positive policy option in myriad ways.

Nevertheless, policymakers and school choice advocates should not shy away from the debate on achievement. Long-term evaluations are consistently showing evidence of student growth. They also suggest a need for patience, cautioning against premature judgements about the success of a school choice program.

Collin Roth is a research fellow for the Wisconsin Institute for Law and Liberty. Dr. Will Flanders is WILL’s research director.
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