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Dear Journalists: Read More Than Wikipedia Before Declaring Trump’s Election Was A Black Swan Event
Donald Trump’s election was no Black Swan event. The error here lies in the misunderstanding of Black Swan probability.
Global Warming: The Theory that Predicts Nothing and Explains Everything
What to do if your global warming theory doesn’t fit the data? Change the data, of course!
Paul Krugman And The Necessity Of Always Being Right
Paul Krugman calls for people to admit when their predictions don’t pan out. Everyone, that is, except him.
What To Expect In 2015
Here are eight big stories that have been brewing in 2014 that are likely to have a bigger impact in 2015.
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